Trump effect equals mass effect

Government+classes+held+the+annual+mock+election+on+Oct.+7.+It+proved+to+show+millennials+are+not+as+educated+as+they+should+be+for+this+upcoming+election.++

Photo by Hector Cervantes

Government classes held the annual mock election on Oct. 7. It proved to show millennials are not as educated as they should be for this upcoming election.

By Hector Cervantes, Reporter

If the school determined the outcome of the presidential election today, Hillary Clinton would be the overwhelming winner, according to a mock election held recently.

Clinton was the winning presidential candidate with 52 percent of the votes countering Donald Trump’s 28 percent, Gary Johnson’s 9 percent, and Jill Stein’s 5 percent.  The mock election was held Oct. 5.

“We were discussing this in class. Based on this state, I think the results will match up (with the real election). I think Hillary will probably win in Illinois,” junior Luke Madden said.

However, not all states may be as predetermined as Illinois.

“The swing states will be what makes or breaks the elections,” senior Nick Bedore said.

On Oct. 7 an audio/video recording of Trump was released from 2005 showing him using vulgar language to describe his interactions with women. This tape has proven to be detrimental to Trump’s campaign.

“Given what happened over the weekend, I don’t see how Trump wins this, given how a lot of people in his own party defected and are leaving him now,” government teacher John Chisholm said.

Although the winner of the real election may end up being the same as in the mock election, some of the percentages – especially for the independent and green party candidates – may be different in the real election.

“It seems like with millennial voters, they’re overwhelmingly supporting third party candidates. A lot of them supported Bernie Sanders. He’s now backing Hillary Clinton, but a lot of his supporters don’t support her,” Chisholm said. “I was a little surprised to see that Gary Johnson and Jill Stein had only 14 percent. I would have thought that they would have a little bit more.”

Additionally, a concept known as the ‘Trump Effect’ may have been at play.

“There’s this thing I’ve read about called the Trump Effect,” Chisholm said. “If people don’t like Donald Trump for whatever the reason, they’re going to vote Democrat but also vote Democrat down ticket.”

This effect could be seen in the mock election especially with U.S. Representatives. Peter Roskam beat Amanda Howland by 5 percent.

“Peter Roskam is a really well known and well liked Republican from Wheaton. If this race were this close I would be shocked,” Chisholm said.

This election is proving to be unsatisfactory for a variety of reasons.

“I don’t think it necessarily reflects America as a whole,” Madden said. “I think more pressing issues should have been discussed at the debates and political events.”

Even though these issues haven’t been discussed as much as some would like, they will have implications for upperclassmen.

“Come November, I won’t be able to vote. I’m going into the military so this election means a lot to me. It could possibly dictate if I get sent off to war or not. For most people, this is just a phase of the country but for me it’s my boss,” Bedore said.